Not sure how to read the tea leaves today. Outside of Severodonetsk, where block-by-block fighting continues, there weren't any significant ground advances attempted by either belligerent theaterwide.
The big story today is a Ukrainian drone strike on an oil refinery in Russia. It appears t...
2022-06-22 19:21:42 +0000 UTC
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2022-06-22 05:35:25 +0000 UTC
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I had wanted to announce this two weeks ago but - COVID. I'm still dealing with post-COVID symptoms but not to the "long COVID" threshold. I've hinted at the future and I'm ready to share with our supporters what that future will look like. All of this will roll out over the next 30 days, some th...
2022-06-21 20:21:37 +0000 UTC
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2022-06-21 07:39:13 +0000 UTC
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Another big offensive by Russian forces in all directions - which is why it likely won't be successful.
Russian forces took Metolkine, so apologies to Kadyrov for being right for once. You are likely hearing other reports that Ukraine is only at "Azot" or "Nitrogen." That's basically unchan...
2022-06-20 21:00:48 +0000 UTC
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There are some major developments in the Black Sea, and historically it has been slow and challenging to gain the facts. This is a general assessment due to the lack of details and a lot of sources rushing to conclusions.
Both Russian and Ukrainian sources are reporting that Ukraine attacke...
2022-06-20 18:08:48 +0000 UTC
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Russia has a big Kaliningrad problem, and the rhetoric has increased dramatically.
First a brief history of how the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad came to be.
Kaliningrad was once upon a time Koenigsberg and was part of Germany. It was the capital of the German region of East Prussia....
2022-06-20 17:53:35 +0000 UTC
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Your EIC is having a really bad day with post-COVID fatigue. I can barely keep my eyes open today. Lunch for Father's Day and a trip to two stores leveled me.
Quick summary - nothing happened today. There was a lot of fighting, but there is no verifiable territorial control changes.
R...
2022-06-20 03:07:19 +0000 UTC
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Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
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2022-06-19 06:11:31 +0000 UTC
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We thought we had big news. That we were assessing that Russia's ability to operate offensive operations at scale beyond artillery was ending (and we'd even argue ended). Given a lot of the doom posting in the mainstream media and by some other analysts, we thought this was a contrarian view. Thi...
2022-06-18 22:15:53 +0000 UTC
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Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
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2022-06-18 06:42:47 +0000 UTC
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Something is happening.
Stay tuned.
2022-06-18 02:04:17 +0000 UTC
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Brief video statements from Alexander Drueke, 39, and Andy Huynh, 27, who went missing more than a week ago in the Kharkiv Oblast have been released. This confirms they were captured and are alive.
Alexander Drueke&n...
2022-06-17 17:59:15 +0000 UTC
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A nice young man is holding a large mortar shell in a picture released yesterday. Look at all of this ammunition behind me. See all of it? Piled to the ceiling! No one will ever realize that I'm standing in the Expodonbass Exhibition Center in Donetsk.
The 2022-06-17 17:46:59 +0000 UTC
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The Russian navy project 22870 rescue tugboat Vasily Bekh was hit by two Neptune or Harpoon missiles and sunk while in transit to Snake Island.
The Vasily Bekh was not your ordinary tug boat. Measuring 57 meters long and 14 meters wide, it had a top speed of 14 knots and was designed for oc...
2022-06-17 16:25:29 +0000 UTC
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Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
We love reading your comments and seeing debate. Share your thoughts on Patreon or on Discord. Our Discord is very lonely!
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2022-06-17 03:59:40 +0000 UTC
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Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
We love reading your comments and seeing debate. Share your thoughts on Patreon or on Discord. Our Discord is very lonely!
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2022-06-16 04:40:43 +0000 UTC
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German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has been accused of promising a helping hand to Ukraine while offering a single pinkie. In our analysis, there are three underlying reasons for this.
1. The legacy of Angela Merkel and her relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Merkel, who is fluen...
2022-06-15 17:38:55 +0000 UTC
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Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
We're back to a full SIT REP today - 40 pages of information. There is a lot happening in Kherson Oblast, with Ukrainian forces...
2022-06-15 05:18:22 +0000 UTC
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In the city of Nova Kakhovka, 50 kilometers behind the line of conflict, Ukraine has destroyed a large ammunition depot. This is in the Kherson oblast, and on the south bank of the Dnipro River. Nova Kakhovka is a major logistics hub for all operations in the Kherson oblast. Training areas for Do...
2022-06-14 19:32:08 +0000 UTC
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Ukrainian forces liberated Prydonetske, the last settlement west of Izyum in the Russian dubbed "Sherwood Forest." Ukrainian forces are now 11 kilometers from the heart of Izyum and 8 kilometers from the city limits.
Due to Operational Security (OPSEC) there is something else we know that w...
2022-06-14 18:42:37 +0000 UTC
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Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
Today's SITREP is a condensed version as I'm still recovering - but there is 21 pages of updates for you.
The SITREP is t...
2022-06-14 02:29:58 +0000 UTC
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On Sunday, Ukrainian forces reached a culmination of the Izyum counteroffensive which has focused on SOF and artillery operations west and northwest of the city. There was a lull in operations due to a shortage of artillery ammunition and the line of conflict from Bairak to the north to Virnopill...
2022-06-13 18:01:51 +0000 UTC
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Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
Your patience is deeply appreciated. I am nowhere near 100% but we've got 33 pages of updates on the current situation in Ukrai...
2022-06-12 04:46:16 +0000 UTC
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Yesterday, someone with Wagner Group PMC thought it was a good idea to make a TikTok video of a fresh group of mercenaries arriving in Ukraine.
Video link here
Kadiivka is about 25 kilometer...
2022-06-10 20:57:19 +0000 UTC
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I really appreciate everyone's patience this week. This could have been a worse week to get COVID for a number of reasons.
On Monday I told my biggest client on the marketing side of the house I was dropping them. The plan was to roll out that I'm all in - we were going to start in-studio l...
2022-06-10 18:26:43 +0000 UTC
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Quick update I am hopeful we are back to Situation Reports today. Videos are probably still a couple of days away.
In Severodonetsk, little has changed in the last 48 hours (I picked an excellent time to get sick). Ukraine continues to control about 30% of Severodoentsk. Russia claims to co...
2022-06-10 17:54:34 +0000 UTC
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The conflict is well into Phase 3 with the battlefront frozen across all of Ukraine.
Russia launched a massive long range artillery barrage on Kharkiv city targeting civilians.
No real changes in the Izyum front.
Ukraine and Russia continue to fight for control of Severodonet...
2022-06-09 18:06:34 +0000 UTC
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I am laid out. Spent all day sleeping. The team did there part along with Rondeli but I just don't have it in the tank. I slept literally all day, seeing doctor tomorrow.
2022-06-09 04:51:46 +0000 UTC
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Patreons at the Bronze Level or higher get access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for the Russia-Ukraine War, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).
The SITREP is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared...
2022-06-08 06:05:59 +0000 UTC
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