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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-19-22 15:00 PDT - Russian Military is in Trouble

If the latest Pentagon assessment is correct, Russian ground forces in Ukraine are in serious trouble. Today, a defense official reported that Russia had lost 25% of its combat power assigned to Ukraine since the invasion started on February 24.

Combat power is not measured simply by counti...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-19-22 11:45 PDT - Mariupol

The Russian Air Force is using Tu-22M3 and Tu-95 bombers to strike the Azovstal Metallurgical Plant.

The Tu-22M3 can carry up to 8 1500kg bombs in its main payload bay. The Russian "Father of All Bombs" FOAB is shrouded in mystery and questions whether a Tu-95 [correction] Bear bomber can d...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-18-22 22:00 PDT - Public Preview

As a thank you to those who supported us on Monday, April 18 with our TikTok situation, and through the kind permission of our generous Patreons, we will make the SITREP publicly available through April 23. 

The SITREP is the foundation of our updates on TikTok and contains additional ...

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How to Let TikTok Know You're Unhappy

If you click this link:

https://e-mailer.link/100181028971 

It will provide you with e-mail addresses and a prepared message to send to TikTok.

We are talking directly with legal and going through th...

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Russia-Ukraine War Situation Report for April 17, 2022 - Public Version

Due to the ongoing situation with our social media channel TikTok, we asked our Patreons in a quick survey if they would approve of making the reports public for a maximum of 21 days while we work with TikTok and evaluate options.

The survey ran for 90 minutes, with a 22% response rate wit...

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Temporarily Making SITREP Public During TikTok Black Out

Good Monday morning! We woke this AM to find that we're permabanned on TikTok, how is your day going?

Clearly, this was part of a coordinated bot attack. We've reached out to TikTok legal, and because they are secretive in their operations I won't say more - it won't help the process.

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-17-22 23:45 PDT

Patreons at Bronze Level or high now have access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for Russia and Ukraine, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).

The SITREP is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our v...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-16-22 23:45 PDT

Patreons at Bronze Level or high now have access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for Russia and Ukraine, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).

The SITREP is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our v...

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We Shouldn't Get Involved, Otherwise it will Start World War III

Editorial by David Obelcz 

I'm sure you've seen this talking point if you've spent any time on social media. Increasingly, if you review the commenters of this narrative, they appear to be bots, paid disinformation farms, or consumers of disinformation. This is not a total dis...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-15-22 12:00 PDT: Moskva Update 3

We're making this publicly available due to serious questions on the status of the crew of the Moskva. Additionally, we are attaching our April 12 Situation Report for your review. For those considering becoming supporters of our team, we hope this peek into what we provide will aid in making...

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Housekeeping - No SITREP For 4/15/22

One of the best aspects of being an independent journalist is within the confines of our channels, I can be transparent and authentic. In a corporate media setting breaking the "fourth frame," or becoming real, is generally discouraged. It can also be career ending.

So I'm going to be authe...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-14-22 21:45 PDT

Patreons at Bronze Level or high now have access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for Russia and Ukraine, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).

The SITREP is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our v...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-14-22 13:45 PDT: Moskva Update 2

The Russian Ministry of Defense has confirmed that the Moskva rolled on its side and sunk in "stormy seas."

The statement reported the warship was being towed and had reached the port, and then capsized.


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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-14-22 09:15 PDT: Moskva Update

In today's episode of "The Fog of War, Choose Your Own Adventure," let's count all the stories on the Moskva and the Kremlin's changing position.

What We Know with Confidence

The Moskva had an incident that resulted in a fire, explosion, and the crew abandoned the shi...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-13-22 23:45 PDT

Patreons at Bronze Level or high now have access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for Russia and Ukraine, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).

The SITREP is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our v...

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Updated: Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-13-22 17:15 PDT: Black Sea Fleet Flagship Incident

UPDATE: The Moskva rolled on its side and sank on April 14, 2022, at approximately 02:50 local time. There is no information on the number of casualties or crew members lost.

About five hours ago, open source intelligence started reporting a major increase in coded radio traffic among the B...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-13-22 09:30 PDT: Mobile Crematoriums?

We haven't discussed the accusations that mobile crematoriums are being used in Mariupol to hide war crimes because we've been researching the accusation.

Before the war started, still images and videos circulated, accusing Russia of staging the equipment. The theory? The mobile crematorium...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-12-22 21:45 PDT

Patreons at Bronze Level or high now have access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for Russia and Ukraine, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).

The SITREP is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our v...

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Special Assessment: Putin Will Use Nukes Redline Fallacy

As multiple agencies investigate the potential April 11 chemical weapons attack in Mariupol, the wails of NATO must get involved echoed across the virtual hallways of the commentariat. The talking point from pro-Russian accounts has been less about denial and more, "it's not our business, and if ...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-11-22 23:00 PDT

Patreons at Bronze Level or high now have access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for Russia and Ukraine, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).

The SITREP is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our v...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-11-22 12:45 PDT

There are multiple reports from Ukrainian government officials, The Mariupol City Council, and military leaders, that chemical weapons have been deployed in Mariupol by Russian forces within the last hour.

There are reports of civilian and military casualties, with symptoms aligning with th...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-11-22 11:00 PDT

DNR Spokesperson Eduard Bausrin, former commander of the DNR Kalmius Battalion, stated on Telegram that Russian forces intend to use chemical weapons in Mariupol. Specifically at the Avozstal Metallurgical Factory.

2022-04-11 18:10:42 +0000 UTC View Post

Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 4-11-22 9:30 PDT

In our assessment, the reports on Sunday that the Ukrainian military forces in Mariupol have been bisected were overstated.

In the last 24 hours, there was fighting in the city's center, significantly east of where fighting was concentrated in the previous three days. There continues to be ...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-10-22 19:15 PDT

Due to the continued operational pause, there hasn't been any material change in Ukraine over the last 24 hours.

Heavy fighting continues in Mariupol and Ukrainian resistance appears to be cracking is the biggest story in the last 24 hours. The latest map from the British Ministry of Defens...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-9-22 20:15 PDT

Patreons at Bronze Level or high now have access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for Russia and Ukraine, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).

The report is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our ...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-8-22 20:45 PDT

Patreons at Bronze Level or high now have access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for Russia and Ukraine, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).

The report is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our ...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report: 4-8-22 12:00 PDT

On April 8 during daylight hours, a Tochka-U SRBM armed with cluster munitions made a direct hit on the train station in Kramatorsk, Ukraine in the Donetsk Oblast. The train station was filled with thousands of civilians, attempting to evacuate from the Slovyansk region in anticipation of a major...

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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 4-7-22 23:00 PDT

Patreons at Bronze Level or high now have access to our Situational Report [SITREP] for Russia and Ukraine, with annotation and links to supporting source(s).

The report is the foundation of our updates on TikTok, and at times will contain additional information that was not shared in our ...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report: 4-7-22 13:00 PDT

Drone video released today shows a Ukrainian BTR-4 engaging two Russian tanks, likely older T-64 (upgraded) or T-72 models in the southwest suburbs of Mariupol.

The  BTR-4 destroys both tanks, and this video reveals a lot of information on the broader situations in the encircled city.<...

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Russia-Ukraine Flash Report: 4-7-22 12:15 PDT

United Nations Human Rights Council

The United Nations voted to remove Russia from the Human Rights Council, 93 to 24. Shortly after the vote, Russia quit the council.

United States to Suspend Normal Trade Relations with the Russian Federation

...

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