metaculus

We're Redesigning the Site. Have a Peek at the New & Improved Question List Page.

Patrons, we're currently working on a mobile-first redesign of the site, which will make room for new features, as well as making it significantly easier to forecast on mobile devices. To that latter end, here are some images of the new question list we wanted to share with you, our supporters. I...

Update On Tier Benefits

Patrons,

If you haven't already, please read the recent post on sales tax and how it may affect some pledges starting in July. 

Also, it's been some time since we updated the benefits a...

Updating You On Sales Tax

Hello Metaculites,

You may have already seen a message from Patreon on the changes they're making that may affect your pledges. If you did not, read on. If you did, you can read on, but the below won't be news to you. (It will be very slightly different in places and in places ...

A New, Coronavirus-Centric Metaculus Site

Patrons, Metaculus has launched a new forecasting domain that is exclusively dedicated to generating useful aggregated predictions on COVID-19. There, you can weigh in on 2020-03-23 15:25:00 +0000 UTC View Post

Quick Question: Which Question?

We value the opinions of all Metaculus users, but we'll freely admit we value the opinions of Metaculus patrons just a bit more. Which of the below questions would you like to see developed and published on the site? Feel free to select multiple options. Go wild.