SamSuka
The Long Investor
The Long Investor

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SILVER - SAFE HAVEN -

I want to share the larger picture of Silver that we have been using since Feb ' 24, when the price action was still in the yellow wedge at $22 - $24.

Bullish Cup and Handle formation, followed by a bullish wedge and we used the heavy correlation with Gold to see where this was going next.....at the time, Gold was moving to ATH's above $2000, so there is usually a lag between Gold and Silver but the lag is always the opportunity.

Since then we are up +45% now.

The 1.618 Fib for Primary Wave 3 is at $47, with the 2011 high at $50.

If concerns about inflation and the economy continue to grow, while having an overvalued market, $50 is reasonable to expect in +12 months (in normal circumstances)

So we do look at this regularly but it is important to remind ourselves of the picture.....and not focus on the smaller waves.

SILVER - SAFE HAVEN -

Comments

Thanks for clarifying

Lennart

Safe Haven is simply a position you would take that would be a hedge against a correction in the US market Traditionally there are positions you can take that actually benefit when the market corrects Gold and Silver being a popular one but also Bonds, which is questionable right now

Gareth Neary

Adding after a pull back now I believe is good, we have already gone above the subwave 3 limit

Gareth Neary

Cap, is it possible to get some definition and background on the definition of safe havens from you? I tried to find somethin in the posts but did not really find anything, maybe I missed it. Thank you

Lennart

Playing the big picture: 1. Adding here is good 2. Adding at the confirmation of wave 5 (end of wave 4) is good. Is that right?

Chris H

I see why you’re saying you’re holding through the overall market correction. Easy to get lost in the smaller waves and forget the big picture

Brian


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