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【會員投票 🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱】 特朗普 Vs 伊朗

你認為特朗普最終會決定讓美軍直接參戰,協助以色列攻擊伊朗嗎?

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😂

Doctor Manhattan

打伊朗對美國根本上得益甚少,而家主要的專家和軍事勢力已經畀以色列清除,剩下一個86歲的老人實際上最多對週邊叫囂下。眾多目標中最有需要的是清除傳說中地下90米深的核設施,而呢個只有美軍才有接近打到的鑽地彈 隨時最後係同以色列deal在美國投資新科技高技術工業,換取僱傭兵手術式用轟炸機打擊最深的核設施。打得爆就爆,打唔爆就算,而哈梅內伊會畀邊一方勢力推翻,乃至於內塔尼亞胡會否因未能完全清除伊朗而在內部畀政敵推下台,就等事情自己發酵。畢竟以色列自10月7日以來的軍事行動,應該已經消耗不少軍火武器,不可能一直尋找新的敵人一直用兵

Pomoron

如果出兵算唔算出賣選民

惑星

Whether or not Trump decides to intervene in the conflict and to what extent the US becomes involved are critical factors. One must ask an equally important question: which country is better economically equipped to sustain a lengthy war? While Iran’s economy has long been fragile, facing severe challenges due to international sanctions and economic mismanagement, Israel has been sending paychecks of millions of dollars a day to its arsenal, potentially limiting its ability to sustain a prolonged war. Meanwhile, Israel is testing the theory that air superiority alone can bring a country to its knees. If it succeeds in completely destroying its foe’s nuclear capabilities—though likely only pushing back the program temporarily—it would mark a significant achievement. If this ever triggers regime collapse through air power alone, an exceedingly rare event in history, it would prompt a reassessment of air power’s role in modern warfare. To make America truly great again, the nation needs a leader with the courage to take bold, principled risks at critical moments. Winston Churchill once said, “Dictators ride to and fro upon tigers which they dare not dismount. And the tigers are getting hungry.” If a leader who is an octogenarian clings to a weakened but dangerous tiger, Trump faces a critical test: does he have the vision and resolve to compel him to dismount and the political knack for taming a new rider—alleviating the tiger’s hunger by aligning Iran’s interests with those of the US and its allies? Many believe that if Ali Khamenei dies without naming a successor, IRGC leaders would establish a hardline military regime. The success of any Trump-Netanyahu collaboration depends on Mossad neutralizing key IRGC figures and, even more challenging, securing a secular leader with sufficient authority and power to balance competing military factions for a stable power transition—an endeavor that is significantly more complex and difficult to achieve. If, however, Khamenei’s death occurs at an inopportune time, it could lead to instability and consequences similar to that experienced in Iraq and Afghanistan.

George

The calculations are made from the point of view of the US. There is no good outcome for the Middle East. The chance of Iran getting an atom bomb over time has irreversibly increased. Same for other worrying countries. The behavioural guide for decision-making here is: short term-ism, hubris and instant gratification, which are the things that got us here in the first place. If impulse wins then a strike is the answer. If cooler head wins you will realise making your enemy desperate would be another mistake. Getting sucked in long term into something you can’t dictate is another. Trump just celebrated his 79th birthday in a parade. Long term is never his problem.

lyk

出唔出兵建基於搵唔搵到伊朗有做核武嘅實質証據,再者,目前流亡海外嘅伊朗皇室俾到乜嘢着數要侵侵出兵去幫佢哋復辟先?都係一單deal嚟啫

Lau tat chung

原本諗「好難講「 但係睇到呢度嗰個taco 我就覺得係會

LL

哪有錢 ___ 自己one big beautiful bill又大洗,Powell又唔肯減息

INH

好似禁tiktok 咁無限拖延

Bryan Chan

講左都係 TACO,何況而家講都冇講。以色列亦唔見得要佢幫手,伊朗又冇咩威脅到美國

Gary Lee


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