Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 08 AUG 2023 23:59* - Is Ukraine Setting Conditions for Something Audacious?
Added 2023-08-09 08:01:59 +0000 UTC
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This is Report 461, which is 53 pages and combat only
What's the big story? Ukrainian forces have established a fourth forward operating base on the left (east) bank of the Dnipro River at Kozachi Laheri. An analysis by our team reveals that Ukraine may be setting conditions to do something much bigger. (Kherson Section)
What's the second story? Ukraine's anti-crime and anti-corruption arrests have started, and we can share some information we have been investigating since last year about Yevhen Borysov. In all disinformation campaigns, even Russian ones, there are nuggets of truth. (Theaterwide Section)
Bonus Story? It's not a good bonus. Ukrainian forces have lost ground in the Svatove and Bakhmut areas of operation, and continue to struggle in Kharkiv.
Summary
- Significant thunderstorm activity is likely across southern Ukraine, occupied Crimea, and the southern part of the Donbas on August 11
- Intense mutual fighting continues on a line from Synkivka to Vilshana, straining Ukrainian defenses
- Ukrainian border guards shot down a Russian Eleron T-16 uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV)
- Russian forces have taken control of Novoselivske
- Russian forces have pushed Ukrainian troops south of Berkhivka to the Berkhivske Reservoir
- Fighting continues from Klishchiivka to Kurdyumivka
- The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed they repulsed a Ukrainian attack in the area of Zaitseve
- Fighting continued east of Avdiivka, in the Sjeverne/Vodyane gray area, and Marinka
- Ukrainian forces occupy the northern part of Urozhaine, where intense fighting continues
- The search and recovery effort after the August 7 Russian “double tap” missile attack on Pokrovsk has ended with 82 wounded and nine dead
- The number and size of Russian military convoys moving through Mariupol increased significantly
- Fighting continued between Robotyne and Verbove
- Ukraine released a video show uncrewed surface vessels attacking either the Vasyl Bykov or Sergiy Kotov, Russian corvettes, on August 1
- Russian officials report they have patched the hull breach on the Russian oil tanker SIG and are preparing to tow the vessel
- Bus traffic between occupied Crimea and Kherson and Zaporizhzhia at Henichesk, Chongar, and Armyansk has been suspended indefinitely
- Ukrainian officials confirmed that the Zatoka Bridge southwest of Odesa over the Dniester Estuary is still out of service and will not be repaired
- Ukrainian forces have landed at least two platoons of troops on the left (east) bank of the Dnipro River at Kozachi Laheri, creating a fourth bridge head
- Claims that Russian troops have evacuated Kakhovka is a psychological operation (psyop)
- Two drones were shot down near Moscow
- Russian President Vladimir Putin’s decision to arm the Rosgvardia with heavy weapons is likely motivated by fear of a second insurrection
- The severely damaged Project 775 large landing ship (LLS) Olenegorsky Gornyak has been moved to a dry dock in Novorossiysk
- Private Military Company Wagner Group is building a tent encampment in Zyabrawka Airfield on the Ukrainian border of Chernihiv
- Ukraine has increased production of the Stunga-P antitank guided missile ATGM) system by 400% since January 2023
- Ukraine is testing its new SpyGun uncrewed aerial vehicle in combat conditions
- German tabloid Bild reported Ukraine had converted roads into runways and is rotating its fleet of Su-24 multirole fighter planes to prevent their destruction
- The Ukrainian State Bureau of Investigation has 112 military recruitment and social services employees under criminal investigation, with 15 already arrested
- People’s Deputy of Verkhovna Rada Ruslan Demchak is under criminal investigation for money laundering
- People’s Deputy of Verkhovna Rada Anatoliy Hunka was arrested for bribery
- The Security Service of Ukraine arrested three women who were charged with treason for being informants for the Russian Federal Security Service and PMC Wagner Group
- Twenty thousand Ukrainian soldiers have been trained in the United Kingdom under Operation INTERFLEX
- An unnamed party purchased 49 Belgium Leopard 1A5 main battle tanks to be transferred to an “undisclosed European country”
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