Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 16 AUG 2023 23:55 - The Gap at Robotyne is a Breach

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This is Report 468, which is 41 pages combat only.

What's the big story? Ukrainian forces continue to advance in Robotyne, where operational tempo has significantly increased, while Ukrainian troops in Urozhaine continued their advance to the edge of Zavitne Bazhannya. Has Phase III of the counteroffensive started? It is starting to look like it.

What's the second story? The Chongar Bridge has reopened.

Editor's Note: If Phase III has started, we will switch to condensed reports that may be broken up into two or three updates per day.

Summary

•  The table of heavy equipment losses for Russia and Ukraine, based on information from the Oryx Database, was updated on August 16, 2023
•  Positional fighting continued north of Kupyansk
•  Commander of the Ground Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonel-General Oleksandr Syrskyi, confirmed our assessment that the Russian attempt to maintain offensives in the Svatove and Kreminna areas of operation (AO) has culminated
•  House-to-house fighting is confirmed in Klishchiivka
•  Ukrainian forces continued to advance from Urozhaine with fighting on the edge of Zavitne Bazhannya
•  Ukrainian forces control northern and most of central Robotyne
•  A Russian Ka-52 Alligator attack helicopter was shot down near Robotyne
•  Ukrainian forces made marginal gains toward Verbove
•  Ukrainian forces have started night operations using NATO-provided equipment in the Orikhiv AO
•  The first ship to sail through Ukraine’s green corridor out of Odesa, the 94,000-ton Joseph Schulte, departed with 2,114 cargo containers
•  A Russian collaborator in Crimea claimed the Chongar Bridge has been repaired while officials urged people not to share information from “social activists”
•  A Russian training based in occupied Kherson was attacked with M30A1 rockets fired by HIMARS
•  Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and Poland are discussing a coordinated closure of their borders with Belarus
•  Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy held a Stavka with a public readout
•  There is a very solid chance the TikTok envelope will be opened within the next week as Ukraine has entered the third phase of their summer offensive

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