Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 26 SEP 2023 23:59* - A Lot Happened

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SITREP 507 is 65 pages long and combat only.

What's the big story? Russia and Ukraine trade blows on ammunition depots - we have a lot of analysis.

What's the second story? More voices from Ukraine's allies are asking, "What does as long as it takes?" really mean, and we dive deep into what NATO training and tactics are getting right and wrong.

Summary

•  There are minor map updates
•  Assessment: Situation in Kharkiv-Luhansk
•  Russian ammunition depot at Sorokyne was destroyed
•  Insurgents are attacking Russian troops in the city of Luhansk
•  Fighting at Klishchiivk and Andriivka continues east of the railroad tracks
•  Activity increased in the Avdiivka area of operation (AO)
•  Fighting continues in the Orikhiv A O, with control of a hill east of Novoprokopivka is the key
•  Assessment: Ukraine’s naval parity in the Black Sea
•  The ferry crossing at Orlivka reopened
•  Romanians are asking why an air raid alert wasn’t issued
•  The Foreign Minister of Romania, Luminita Odobescu, called continued attacks on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure a war crime
•  Cargo ships are using Romanian territorial waters to shelter from Russian drone attacks
•  Residents of occupied Sevastopol are fuming over bomb shelter issues
•  Attacks on Kherson continue
•  Russia destroyed a Ukrainian ammunition depot at Kyselivka with a Kh-59 guided missile
•  Assessment: The slippery slope of false moral equivalency
•  A major gas pipeline exploded in Poltava
•  Ukrainian drones knock out power in parts of the Kursk, Russia
•  A commissariat office in Vladivostok, Russia, was firebombed
•  President Volodymr Zelenskyy held a Stavka
•  Investigators in Poland conclude a S-300 air defense missile that struck Rzeczposplita in November 2022, came from Ukraine
•  Former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine, John Herbst, said saying “as long as it takes” means absolutely nothing
•  Secretary of the NSDC of Ukraine said that missile production had to be moved to a different country due to Russian attacks
•  The Netherlands said F-16s will arrive in Ukraine in 2024
•  F-16 training for pilots and ground crews has not started
•  Bulgaria is prepared to transfer S-300 air defense missiles to Ukraine, but there is a catch
•  U.S. Major Robert Rose questions how well the U.S. Army understands the situation in Ukraine and what training is providing
•  Assessment: What is training providing
•  Did the United States demand Ukraine complete a list of reforms to receive further military aid – no
•  Russian Ministry of Defense Sergei Shoigu took over Russia’s electronic mobilization database and app development because it doesn’t work
•  Ramzan Kadyrov is 100% alive and healthy
•  Don
•  Shoigu says the Kremlin is setting plans for its war against Ukraine through 2025
•  Ukrainian forces launched a decapitation attack on the 70th Guards Rifle Division
•  Kadyrov may be alive, but there are a lot of questions about whether the commander of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Federation, Admiral Viktor Sokolov, is
•  The former mayor of Chaykovsky in the Perm Krai region, Russia, Oleksiy Tretyakov, is now a POW
•  Some Russian mobiks from the Southern Military District didn’t receive food or medicine
•  The first Russian BRDM-2M amphibious scout car designed in the 1950s was destroyed
•  Ramzan Kadyrov’s son, Adam, beat Nikita Zharavel, who is awaiting trial for burning a Qua’ran, and Russians are furious
•  The Council of Commanders for Private Military Company Wagner Group insists it is still open for business
•  Some PMC Wagner social media channels are promoting PMC Convoy
•  The Council of Commanders of PMC Wagner publicly stated that Yevgeny Prigozhin and Dmitry Utkin are dead
•  Iran debuts a turbine engine-powered Shahed-136 kamikaze drone
•  The U.N. Commission for the Investigation of Events in Ukraine found that Russian troops systematically use torture and rape on the battlefield
•  Russia announced it wants to rejoin the U.N. Human Rights Council
•  A Russian court rejected Alexei Navalny’s appeal to have his 19-year prison sentence reduced
•  Türkiye says, give us F-16s, and we’ll let Sweden join NATO
•  Finland will start denying political asylum requests at the border
•  Ukraine drilled a record number of natural gas wells in 2023
•  Ukraine’s economy grew 19.5% in the second quarter of 2023
•  Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic are moving closer to resolving the grain shipment issue
•  Russia’s fuel crisis is getting worse
•  Russia has a consumer debt time bomb

Podcast

The Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for September 26 includes the War Report.

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