The strong upper level flow and 60s dew points that are common this time of year in the Alley have left the building. Weak dynamics continue to bring a whole lotta uncertainty regarding tornado activity through the week, but at least one of those days has potential for a surprise sleeper tornado event (perhaps even today in Western Nebraska).
Friday and Saturday has the moisture, but a STRONG cap currently appears to suppress any storm activity according to the NAM weather model. The GFS weather model gives me higher confidence in storm activity Sunday through Wednesday but in a weakly sheared environment.
I'll make a call this evening If I'm going to risk getting a sunburn Friday and Saturday, But the more likely scenario is that I hit up the Texas Panhandle Sunday through Wednesday. The real stuff currently appears to be arriving May 18th, 19th and 20th.
Stitch
2018-05-14 02:36:18 +0000 UTCPecos Hank
2018-05-11 06:22:34 +0000 UTCPetra Perez
2018-05-11 04:02:36 +0000 UTC