The potential for strong tornadoes exists today in Oklahoma & North Texas...

The CAMS (Convective Allowing Models) have been consistent resolving updraft helicity swaths (mesocyclone tracks) initiating near the Red River & i40 for many runs now. The HRRR (left image) has been more aggressive with long tracking mesocyclones and the NamNEST (right) has been steadily resolving a quicker transition to messier linear modes which would be a better scenario for the denizens of Oklahoma.
The Wind Breaker and I will be departing from Houston at 8AM, currently splitting the distance between the two models and aiming to dial in the forecast around 3PM CT.
Currently expecting beastly storms initiating around sunset and chasing a night-time tornado threat. I'll post updates here when I can. Stay safe chasers and denizens!
Marti Masters
2021-10-12 04:31:01 +0000 UTCBrent
2021-10-11 23:18:43 +0000 UTC