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Today's Chase - TX & or OK

The potential for strong tornadoes exists today in Oklahoma & North Texas...

The CAMS (Convective Allowing Models) have been consistent resolving updraft helicity swaths (mesocyclone tracks) initiating near the Red River & i40 for many runs now.  The HRRR (left image) has been more aggressive with long tracking mesocyclones and the NamNEST (right) has been steadily resolving a quicker transition to messier linear modes which would be a better scenario for the denizens of Oklahoma.   

The Wind Breaker and I will be departing from Houston at 8AM, currently splitting the distance between the two models and  aiming  to dial in the forecast around 3PM CT.

Currently expecting beastly storms initiating around sunset and chasing a night-time tornado threat.   I'll post updates here when I can.  Stay safe chasers and denizens!   

Today's Chase - TX & or OK

Comments

October is gale weather in Michigan. People won't be expecting the possiblity of tornadoes, so I hope my friends and family - and everyone else the Great Lakes State - are safe. That goes for all you storm-chasers and all the people in the severe weather areas.

Marti Masters

I think there is fun yet to be had. Besides, it is Fall and always a nice time for a drive, even if you might need 4WD to get through the solid form of water.

Brent


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