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Pecos Hank
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May 12 Chase Target - throw a dart.

This 10% tornado outlook is different from ones storm chasers get anxious for. Rather than discreet supercells and their beautiful danger dangles, this outlook suggests tornado potential in embedded in messy surging squall lines. Generally these QLCS tornadoes (Quasi Linear Convective System) are random and transient EFO-1s and rarely stronger than EF2.

Rather than scampering through scary strong winds all day seeking random mesovortices, I think I’m going to target lightning and dung beetles in the tail end of the line where action might be a little slower for a tripod set up.

Here is the HRRR model and NamNest model outlooks for 6-7pm

Good luck messy madness chasers!


May 12 Chase Target - throw a dart.

Comments

Stay safe!

Brenda

Anyone notice the 3 day outlook for NY. YEP that’s me. ENH Risk. I will be in this storm for sure.

Michelleslbqueenbee

Amazingly, the storms went around Omaha. We had some wind - maybe 30-35 mph, but no damage. My kids in Sioux City, IA had very little damage as well.

Brenda

Brenda, how did things turn out for you?

Barbara Jeffries

If you get a chance, you should visit Snake Discovery on the east side of Saint Paul.

Sarah

Yay dung beetles and lighting. Two crowd-pleasers. Looking forward to it. :)

Jorie Jenkins

I have, they had similar event around Amarillo over the weekend I believe. They look like images out of Arizona

Mike Castles

Yes

Alasdair K

Yeah - have you seen any of the pics coming out of Sioux Falls? Creepy!

Brenda

So you guys went to SD to get in a Haboob? Crazy storm season this year.

Mike Castles

Straight line winds?

Brenda

Sirens also going off in Sioux City, IA. Tornado Warned storm is headed to SC.

Brenda

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings just west of Omaha with strong line of straight line winds 70-80 mph. Could be near my house in 10-15 min. Also Tornado Warning roughly 60 miles northwest of Omaha.

Brenda

Woah- 107 mph winds in Tripp, SD

Alasdair K

Just saw you on 281, were looking at the isolated cell heading towards Orient, SD.

Celton

It tried to snow here last night so cold is gonna meet hot...lol 51 here and 91 at my niece's in Illinois...it's booming around the Gold Hills and Devil's Tower. That can be fun...dang, the radar and and the almost triple point dry line weirdness between Casper and Pierre...I love playing up there. I need out of my cage!

Brent

Maybe you’ll score something beautiful if SPC pans out.

Petra Perez

Here's hoping you have a delightful day with the dung beetles. 💩😊 I'm sure they'd appreciate some more banana🍌.

Nanci Ives


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