Morning Chasers,
Storms in the TX Hill Country are consuming tornado parameters along the dryline. To what degree? Not certain. The HRRR appears to be trending toward less storm intensity and coverage along the dry line each run (if I'm seeing it right) while the Nam Nest blows up the dry line with storms. With that, Do you choose heads... The HRRR OK target? Tails, the TX HRRR target or Wild, A burrito somewhere else?
I plan to drive north to the first TX target and have another look at mesoanalysis... time permitting.
YESTERDAY : WE ALL NEED BOUNDARIES
Most everybody was on the first long lived HP supercell. Here's a scan just before going tornado warned. But I had my eyes on another storm 1.5 hours to the west.


An outflow boundary / cold front thingie was firing storms but then undercutting them and robbing them of tornado potential. Do you love the one you're with? Or want what you can't have?
Of the multiple storms initiated yesterday, this one was able to latch on to the boundary after it split and thus produce a very photogenic tornado. Congrats to Mr. Shaw for recognizing this, committing early and being one of the few that caught it.

Good luck today Decision Makers.
Marc Faulkner
2024-05-24 19:12:09 +0000 UTCCelton
2024-05-24 13:38:58 +0000 UTCBrenda
2024-05-24 07:09:54 +0000 UTCAlasdair K
2024-05-24 01:16:23 +0000 UTCPecos Hank
2024-05-24 01:08:22 +0000 UTCSkwx
2024-05-24 00:53:23 +0000 UTCBrenda
2024-05-24 00:37:57 +0000 UTCMike Castles
2024-05-24 00:37:42 +0000 UTCLaurentia McIntosh
2024-05-23 21:07:31 +0000 UTCBradCat
2024-05-23 17:43:37 +0000 UTCJanine Moss
2024-05-23 17:25:50 +0000 UTCMichelleslbqueenbee
2024-05-23 17:12:24 +0000 UTCMike Castles
2024-05-23 16:43:50 +0000 UTC