15% Sig Tor Storm Chase - May 25
Added 2024-05-25 16:11:22 +0000 UTCShe rarely makes it easy, that Mother Nature. According to my HRRR mesoanalysis… TX tails is the high percentage guarantee of daytime storms. Biggest Caveat is much higher potential of bottlenecking conga lines… never a fun thing.
Kansas heads would offer many road options to reduce chaser traffic psychosis. My biases against that side of the coin is 1, perhaps a lesser guarantee of a daylight supercell. 2, I’m already in the tails and 3, I’ve been hosed by heads in past similar patterns with sun burn.
There’s always the wild card play. Model output of cirrus clouds streaming over Oklahoma from New Mexico seems plausible stifling that region a bit. Targets in northern Kansas and Nebraska are out of my reach and were ignored in my analysis.
Right now I’m leaning toward Kansas, but not with confidence. Paralysis by analysis might keep me here another hour in which I’ll miss that window.
So place your bets chasers, heads tails or wild? Let’s all try to keep the race horse urges on firm reigns and live to fight another decade.
Good luck chasers
Hank
Comments
The number keeps changing but it's always impressive: between 988 and 1,053 SPC storm reports yesterday. Fifteen tornadoes.
terry thometz
2024-05-27 11:58:36 +0000 UTCA good day, good to hear you are headed home for a break. Next week looks to be equally as busy (and in some of the same areas perhaps).
Mike Castles
2024-05-26 21:11:14 +0000 UTCNice handful of pretty tornadoes today followed by whatever that was that crossed 135 near Gainesville. Long day. Heading to Houston to take a little break. Xox
Pecos Hank
2024-05-26 06:50:33 +0000 UTCStorm in north Texas barely missed me. Was only 5 to 10 miles away.
Ashton (Infamous)
2024-05-26 05:38:48 +0000 UTCI hope everyone is safe! It turned out to be quite an outbreak and it's still going. This year's tornado season is over performing.
BAJordan76
2024-05-26 05:15:22 +0000 UTCThis nighttime tornado outbreak is insane…
Skwx
2024-05-26 05:06:03 +0000 UTCEnded up right behind the tornado in Windhorst, TX. Downed trees was all I saw.
Mike Castles
2024-05-26 02:16:30 +0000 UTCLooks like the choice was right!
Richard C
2024-05-25 23:05:28 +0000 UTCLots!
Pecos Hank
2024-05-25 23:01:27 +0000 UTC*already a confirmed tornado on the ground south of Abilene TX, which is part of the 5% unhatched area
Richard C
2024-05-25 20:54:00 +0000 UTCPDS watch issued for just about the entire 15% area... Good luck everyone and be careful at intersections
Richard C
2024-05-25 20:51:51 +0000 UTC
