CRP Patreon Exclusive: “The Coming War with China”

Few years ago, it was fine and dandy about free trade, collaboration with China, globalised economy and then boomz, no more. The trajectory just change abruptly. But its not the first time. The same shxt was dish out to Japan when Japan was experiencing the same exponential growth in 70-80s.

After the Afghanistan fiasco, this has just been accelerated

The prize USA will gain from defending Taiwan is “TSMC “ the most advanced chip manufacturing company. USA will prevent China from getting its hands on worlds most advanced CPU/GPU which will slow them down on their AI development.

Probably did come from a lab though. Not saying it was engineered but that it came from messy lab practice there's some evidence for it. Guy on YouTube LaoWhy86 made some videos

I’m 2 minutes in and *face palm*. Coach, Amazon + google ALONE probably make more than China. Just those two AMERiCAN companies. America based on GDP is larger then every other country combined, including China. China is a huge manufacturing plant.

Dave Smith

From a native Chinese's POV here : China is overrated

HoraHoraaa

What is the European perspective of this war? Will Europe stick to America and fight against China? Or will we be able to stay aside and even profit from it?

China is a parasite economy. Their current growth requires US dollars to be spent on Chinese goods. If those dollars are slowed or stopped, China stops in it's tracks. They are totally dependent on the US. If they were capable of economic independence, then they would've achieved it by now. The real metric isn't the average per capita income, it's the distribution of that income. If the standard deviation between the income in china is huge (high economic disparity and rigid class system) , then that's not a sustainable system. You can only create an economy where per capita wages are good AND that standard deviation is relatively low. If we average the per capita incomes of 1000 homeless people and one rich person (Elon Musk) in that 1000, then it appears like we have 1000 well-off people. We don't. We have one very rich man and 999 destitute homeless guys. Elon musk will purchase only so many homes and cars and require only so many services to manage things. That's not a basis for an economy, but that's the basis of China's "economy". The CCP guarantees that there will be a rigid class system and those who have the favor of the CCP will be rich and those who aren't will remain with whatever they had to begin with, give or take. Merit doesn't determine income, a central authority does. This should be the red flag which tells the world that China has no economy. If merit isn't determining the income of individuals and companies, and it other arbitrary criteria are being imposed (toeing the party line), then you don't have an economy, you have a pseudo economy. An economy is based on the degree to which goods and services flow among people and how self sustaining that flow remains. As before, we know the money of the rich will never sustain an economy because they don't circulate enough goods or services. They put their extra money into worldwide assets which have little to do with the Chinese economy. That's one reason why property values are so high in the US -- Chinese money isn't getting spent in China. The CCP knows this and is trying to slow or stop it. The Chinese system is a far more rigid class system than any in the West. We don't think of it that way because we only ever speak about China in monolithic terms -- we always speak about the aggregate and never the variance among it's people. China doesn't want to admit it has a class problem but it has a deadly dangerous class problem and the lower classes are making it very clear to the CCP. That's why the CCP is so ruthless with dissent. They know their own history. But they're using the same techniques as the leaders that failed before. They don't fight dissent by giving freedoms, they fight dissent by taking freedoms away. You can only take so much from a population before you can no longer control them. An economy which isn't self correcting isn't sustainable. Only systems which can change organically based on changes in the environment are sustainable -- as all systems in nature. A central authority, by definition, can't and won't change itself (it's leadership and philosophy) based on the environment. They will try to change the environment to suit their authority. Freedom isn't just a sappy feel-good state in which people are most comfortable. Freedom is also the most efficient way for an economy to adapt to changing environments. If people are allowed to optimize their abilities by increasing their fortunes based on their merit and not a central authority, then you have an economy which is sustainable. However, when a central authority is determining success and failure, they aren't allowing people to optimize based on their own merit. The repercussions are more devastating than just the ostensible limit which is imposed. Once you punish certain types of speech or action, people lose all creativity for fear that it will cross a line which they didn't know existed. This is why China must steal IP and rarely invents it. Central authorities create environments which destroy creativity. Singapore has this same problem. People self censor every form of expression if the cost of even speaking the wrong sentence is high. Over a short time, eventually their minds become incapable of even thinking against the orthodoxy. I know this first hand. Youtube's censorship has actually changed the way I write when I'm not on Youtube. I found myself censoring personal emails to others because it was instinctive to remove words which I know will get posts auto-deleted. The reason this has huge ramifications to me is that I am a highly disagreeable person. Sometimes self destructively so. But even I began to censor myself. Not because I agreed, but because my brain just avoided communicating my belief. Most people are sheep. If I can begin to self censor, most others would just change their beliefs entirely. It wouldn't be self censorship, it would be self authorship. The reason this bodes poorly for China is that there's no economic or social criteria which indicates they possess a sustainable economy. When there's no social mobility, there's no incentive for people to optimize their merit. When there's no change in leadership or political philosophy, then the central authority can't adapt to change or can't do it better than more free economies. A nation state can only reach an economic level which its system can support. In China, they can't optimize the talents of their people because they don't have the freedoms to enable it. China is trying to have its cake and eat it too. They opened up some freedoms, but they only freed up Capital not Labor. They're actually incapable of freeing up Labor because they'd have to have a system which was accountable to those of most merit. But they aren't accountable to anyone or even their own failures. And the people of merit will never even exist because merit requires freedom in order to be possessed. This is how we know that China isn't sustainable: they have Potemkin cities. Empty cities built with shoddy materials to boost their own economy. If those buildings were habitable by humans, they'd be an asset like a home. They aren't. They're an expendable like a bomb. Once a bomb is used, there's no ongoing economic benefit of that good other than what was gained by its creation. The same is true for those buildings. They're now crumbling. They couldn't be used for homes even if China's people could afford them. Nothing is a more sure sign of an unsustainable economy than the building of assets which aren't assets. That's an economic abomination. A paradox. They also made the same mistake as the West is making. They monetized the reproductive capacity of their nation. This caused huge problems for reproduction for which they're going to pay dearly (as shall we all): women who work have less kids. Women who are the highest IQ and ambition work the hardest and have the least kids. IQ is highly heritable (80%). Further, when women work, their hypergamy guarantees that they begin selecting against nearly every male in the society. So, the demographic situation: IQ's will fall of the children who are born(guaranteed), women who work won't have kids (or hardly any), working women become very selective of males and hold off childbirth (less kids or none at all), working women have satisfied the beta bucks equation with their own incomes so now they only choose the alpha fucks side of the equation (lower IQ and irresponsible males have a better shot at reproduction). Every aspect of optimal human reproduction is eliminated when you monetize reproductive energy to supply your economy in the present rather than accepting lower economic activity in the present but winning the future. You win with new higher generations of more intelligent, diligent, and capable men. Instead, you get fewer births than prior generations (demographic timebomb); lower IQs; lower levels of personality traits required for good economies in general. Each generation that continues in this way will lose more an more of it's economic potential. My guess is that this is what caused Rome's slow decline. When resources become plentiful, the traits which were required to sustain that plenty are no longer selected for by females. We know that's exactly what happened because the Emperors were so concerned about the obliteration of strong marriage and family that it was an issue they tried to handle. Infidelity was rife in the empire. Wives were hooking up with gladiators while husbands were off on battle campaigns. The traits of those Roman soldiers who would fight for Rome were no longer expressing themselves in the children of the women of Rome. The cheating which wives do while soldiers are on campaigns is so common that in the US, there's a euphemism for the men back home with whom the wives cheat: Jodie. The only nation which can possibly win the economic future of the world will be one which stops monetizing maternal energy for short term gain. Ideally, one which absolutely forbids high IQ women from working while incentivizing the lowest IQ to work in whatever capacity they can. Natural hypergamy will take care of all the rest of the problems: the working low IQ women will have far fewer children and will select for good looks rather than good fathers. The high IQ will have far more children and will select for good fathers rather than good looks (because they are forbidden to earn their own income). Further, such a nation must have many political freedoms for men while restricting them for women. Women have never built or invented anything even when given plenty of help to do so. Evolution never selected for women to build, only to consume. It is what it is and wishing doesn't make it any different. It's unfortunate, but reality doesn't care about my feelings or anyone else's. Such systems existed in intermediate form in many countries, which is why those nations arose so fast and got so far. But corporations and government, being more driven for short term profits rather than long term sustainability decided to create a social experiment so that they could monetize maternal energy for short term gain. They turned high IQ babies into corporate profits. But those profits rely on high IQ babies to be sustained. They sold the future out to profit in the present. Thankfully, China has made the same mistake and I can't see them doing otherwise. They think they're in a sprint when they should be running a marathon. They'll no more unmonetize high IQ women than anyone in the West will. Stopping feminism won't fix that problem because the incentives in the system are designed to monetize all high IQs whether male or female. China is too desperate to compete to shut down all the labor of it's most intelligent and hardest working females. They will continue converting maternal energy into money and they'll get diminished returns faster than any of them can possibly believe. Reproduction is exponential which means decay is exponential. The incentives are so slanted that only the least intelligent and least capable are reproducing with bounty. The decay of economically preferred traits is inevitable. The problem is so glaringly in our faces that everybody knows it: the dumbest people are reproducing. That's not a natural state, that's a state which requires massive social engineering and perverse incentives so that the present can steal the bounty of future and that future will never exist at all. It's like crappy parents who spend all their children's inheritance instead of leaving resources to their children which they can use to form families of their own. Instead, their children will have to monetize energy which could've gone into creating and raising a family. China isn't the future any more than Japan became the future as they were expected to do during the 80s. Each political system has an economic limit which is determined by the incentives of that system. The US proved it's system in the 50s but destroyed it in the 60s by giving unearned privileges and resources to the most irresponsible people. The same is happening in all the West and now Asia. If I had to bet on a power to win the future, it would still be the US. It's still capable of adapting to change, though not nearly as well as it could years ago. it's stills self sustainable as an economy which means it's military will continue to dominate. The minute the cash spigot is shut off from the US, China falls. Likely, there will be massive protests and lots of violence. The only reason the people don't revolt against the CCP is because the CCP promised a successful return in exchange for the peoples tolerance for draconian measures. China knows this and they're trying to stop it with technology. The CCP doesn't understand that the minute the public turns on them, even the people who run the tech will turn on them -- CCP party servants or not. There will be rough roads ahead but they won't likely be caused by nature or cosmic events. Every problem is a problem created by mankind by installing perverse incentives which destroy the future by monetizing it in the present. Every nation on Earth is doing it to themselves or doing it to other nations. The first nations which can understand the ramifications and act upon them will be the nation that wins. And every person in that nation will be happy in that short time when mistakes are still in living memory. End of essay.

Thanks Coach for your insights on this. You are one of the few men to face reality squarely, use logic and life experience to come to conclusions of probable future scenarios. I have appreciated this character in you for years. Never feel bad for your reaction to the early pandemic, it helped me and many like me evaluate the pandemic as we worked our way through it, not with fear, but with a keen eye on reality. I appreciate you more than you can know.

Anyone see us as the Soviets in this line up?

My pet theory on the British Empire is they never crumbled. They simply consolidated their organization and outsourced management and enforcement to the U.S. while still expanding its influence. Whenever Britain has a beef, the U.S. supports or facilitates their interest even if it’s none of our business (ie Falklands War, arresting Pinochet etc. I could be wrong.

It's crazy you posted this right before China threatened the US with nuclear missiles after we said we'd investigate the origins of covid

Republicans and Conservatives have also been saying "they (the government) are going to take away our guns"… for DECADES. What I find funny is conservatives and republicans have been saying these anti-communist and "gun talks" for DECADES and NEVER acknowledge that it NEVER happened! Y'all said the same thing about Obama for 9 years… NOTHING happened!

Another red scare… like Senator McCarthy. THERE WILL BE NO WAR. People talked about war with Russia since the 1950s too. It NEVER happened. Only a cold war. It's Media fueled nonsense and it has been happening since the 1950s.

Coach you should check out laowhy86 on his video, latest video china is about to attack

I'm also in Australia and thinking about that.

How do we prepare for the war? I live in Australia,we would probably be dragged into it. what measures should we take?

We have been at war! Like you said the glory days. We assume the next big war will be with bigger missiles, ships guns, or a future war with robots. No no we fucked with a country with high tech and it’s dividing us all, not just America the world. The only thing that can save America now is the entrepreneurs and the industrial people, and capitalism. Nows not the time for the flower child. Don’t underestimate it though, you can watch all the bullshit you want on the rectangle box in your hand but America As a country is very creative.

I've never heard of a 20 year old calling himself a 'kid'.

I mostly disagree with you on this video. First, I do agree with the people who say that a war would be benifical to the united states. The United States was born out of a nessesity of war. Without it there is no reason for the states and factions to be united. Also, in war the people are far more willing to sacrifice for the common good. The only reason its a bad idea is because the repercussions are so much worse today than they were in the past. I do think however that the united states, and possibly other countries will have mock wars. A mock war could have the gain without the bad end of things. Just read Report from Iron Mountain. Secondly when it comes to the Chinese, the main reason why the Chinese have done so well is that they made an agreement with the west that countries like the Soviet Union never had. Third, the virus clearly came out of the Wuhan lab when the pandemic first started. I remember it clearly on TV. It was only after the Chinese got butt hurt that it became a 'conspiracy'. If they could convince the world that it was really the US that started it they would do it. They even had people here in the states convinced that they had ended the virus completely with their authoritarianistic shutdowns.

Thanks for posting this Coach, I've been thinking about this around 2016 looking at what is going on with the china sea expansion on Japan and other social political issues, I highly encourage you to look into Peter Thiel and his views on China, His book Zero to One is also really good.

That's the million-dollar question.

China afraid me because to reach same GDP/ capita as USA for a 1.4 billion population, it would mean it would be a succesfull third reich empire. it would represend 80% of world GDP do you imagin?

Yes Coach. I didn’t realize all the unrest in Chile. I hope you can comment at some point.

America won pretty much every battle of the Vietnam war. The decision to withdraw and abandon all gains was political.

Poor Americans... they didn't manage to fuck up a poor nation like Vietnam, and now they think they can wage war against China?? Poor foolish people

It was traitors within the US that were in cahoots with China in this. Coach, you need to read those Fauci emails. It's all there. That's the reason the "lab theory" is finally being admitted to be accurate. Be tough to blame just China for it.

But the leaders in the US now are likely involved in this whole COVID thing, so I don't think they would ever do this. I believe they will instead work with the Chinese to sell out the US to them.

Paul Meyer

Wrong

Well articulated Coach... Stay with Geo politics on Patreon!... I'm finally calling in next week 😸

The US and China are so interdependent of one another, I simply do not see a war happening in the next decade or longer.

Hey coach whats ur take on why the media and everyone seems to he throwing Fauci under the bus now with the release of his emails?

Coach we need a video on Turkey.

I love this geo politics shit man.

You are also 100% right that people are refusing to see any global problems at this time. It wouldn't surprise me to see a huge population loss in the US when hard times come. People are not ready mentally, physically or emotionally for the hard times to come. Not all, but many are intentionally ignorant of the circumstances.

I also had the same thought when I heard that the US is suddenly interested in the origin of the sickness after 15 months of being completely unconcerned. It will be the rationale for starting a war with China -- likely when China refuses to compensate the US for the sickness. (I have to grimly laugh at this because China doesn't give a f*ck about the USA's obsession with victimhood. I'm sure they laugh every time a "victim" of police violence is handed tens of millions of dollars.)

Coach, since you lived in Chile, do you have an opinion on what is going on right now? I'm scared

Something I am not buying in this video are your statements regarding the Chinese advantage of waiting the long run, and the seeming alliance between them and the Russians. While I do concur that yes, China and Russia are informal allies, both of these countries are facing many existencial issues, just to name the biggest one: Demographics. China and Russia are not in a position to wait for the long run, considering that they currently are passing through a closing window in which they must become stock holders on the world system or collapse due to lack of young population. This is specially true for China, as their population is aging rapidly and their birth rate is collapsing, added the lack of social welfare in the country and economic model dependent on massive young workers running the industries, and a water crisis up ahead (The Chinese industrial sector is expected to consume the country’s water supplies in the next few decades), I don’t see the Chinese on a good position for waiting, in fact it’s very likely that they’ll become more desperate in the years to come.

I can't really square this argument. China depends on a lot of imported resources that come by sea (with all it's neighbours hating it's guts) which sea lane is protected so far by the US navy. On the other hand, the US going to war with China is like anyone going to war with their banker. I can't see that happening anytime soon.

TDS doesn't explain why the rest of the world would go into some form of lockdown.

LOL TV is bullshit everywhere i can see. This trick is probably older then me. Every now and then some guy tries to show he has magnetic body.

No. They did not overreact. They wanted Trump gone and they used the covid lockdowns to do as much economic damage as possible and hang everything on Trump. This was Dems, RINO's, Neocons and globalists. Rid of Trump and back in control, they can get back to business as usual, profiting off their ties to China, until they transition to profiting from war with China.

COACH LOOK AT THIS SH*T: THE NATIONAL TELEVISION OF CHILE (TVN) CONFIRMED PFIZER VACCINE MAGNETISM. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TG8Sp50HfNM

Russia and China are hooking up and Russia has a very strong army. Keep that in mind. It was also mentioned the US military is woke. It's filled with women and transgender soldiers as Tommy C stated. That lineup will not take on the Chinese.

Greatest Generation: 1901-1927 roughly.

But isn't the goal of the Great Reset to wean off the Bretton Woods system from 1944 --> usher in a new global monetary system --> ultimately avert war with China? For me, the big question are Western elites: 1. I see universal acceptance that America is in economic decline 2. With that accepted decline we see a a lack of "fight" for Western institutions by US elite (as evidenced by CRT) I just don't see who really wants this clash of civilizations. Trump was most prescient on China and arguably pushed out of power to no disrupt the transition....Our leaders are so bankrupt and cowardly that I think they'd accept a China-led NWO if the skids are greased and they make as much money going up in the new system as they made going down in the old one. Either way, 100% agree that everything after postwar 20th century is in deep crisis. Maybe this Wuhan lab stuff will wake up the West but I'm bearish.

It's clear Thucydides Trap and war is very likely.

Gen McArthur wanted to nuke them during the Korean War. Then Nixon opens their market and Reagan/Clinton moved all the US jobs overseas. All self-inflicted by America.

The justification for the Vietnam war (the NSA admitted it a few years back) and the Iraq war were all fabricated. There is precendent. But I'm not sure they have the stupidity or the to go to war with another nuclear power. It would be violating the one unwritten rule in post-WW2 geopolitics. You're ignoring the nuclear elephant in the room.

Tomek

Coach, Dalio is basically saying the same w/ end of US long-term debt cycle: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/changing-world-order-ray-dalio-1f/

I was thinking about a possible wor with china just yesturday..

While we can point to different generations and it can all be true it fails to understand that this situation was done on purpose. We meaning America could not be defeated without this battlefield preparation. They have been at it for decades and those not directly involved have certainly help and placed themselves in a position to take advantage of the new reality of the Unites States not being number one. They hollowed out our industries so we cannot manufacture our way into victory as we have in the past, the morale of men has been destroyed to the point where they would not be sure what they would be fighting for beyond survival, we are divided and would fail to have a united front of any level against an internal enemy, our families are broken, our food and energy sectors are barely tenable and the enemy is deep within our midst. To win would be possible but it would take a ruthless barbarity consisting of destroying utterly the enemy within and turning all our energies against the coming storms. I am in San Antonio Texas so still pretty solid but even here we are compromised. San Antonio to a lesser extent than Houston, Dallas-Ft Worth and Austin but still hanging on by a thread. So it is going to go to hell very quickly when it does happen. Here we are in tribes and small groups as far as what you may consider patriots but from what we wear and tattoos and other signs we know each other. Historically when neither side can afford to lose and they are the same people contained within a contiguous land mass like North America the savagery when it all blows up will be off the charts. It is too late to stop. Something like in all events such as these will have a triggering event that will start the conflagration.

The problem is the WW2 generation and the Silent generation are gone. They left us a lot of wealth and great systems that have been destroyed by the Baby Boomers and their selfishness. The Baby Boomers bought into the cult of the self - that their happiness in this moment is the most important thing in the world. it explains everything they do. The world will one day be a better place, after the Baby Boomers are all dead.

Weapons, precious metals, food, basic needs items, and if you have some extras leftover, cryptocurrency. Or as previous CRP videos suggested, move to a poor country that wouldn't be in the crossfire.

Wonderbread

Sometimes the prize of war is war itself. Not necessarily winning the war but most importantly attempting to win the war.

It's best to die on your own sword instead of someone else's sword

My thoughts on this is that notwithstanding US’s overreaction with lockdowns and ensuing economic damage being self-inflicted, China is still responsible for all the deaths caused by the lab leak and the coverup, and they need to be punished for it. I don’t think that starting a war is the answer, but there needs to be something, as what they did is tantamount to an act of international terrorism in my view. But if there was a war in the next 5 years I don’t think the US would lose. It also depends on what kind or war we are talking about. If the US invades China, then yes I think US would lose on China’s home turf, as it’s just way too big and population too numerous. Likewise China would lose in the same way if it invaded the US mainland. If they met somewhere in the middle and fight it out with navies and air power, then US would still win due to having a military budget 4 times that of China, more sophisticated weaponry and electronics, and having much greater combat experience from the past 40+ years of warfare. If however the US allows the wokeness to completely permeate the military in the next 10 years then things could change, but I don’t see China winning in the next 10 years at least. Also let’s not forget that US is a member of NATO and any attack on it would force all other members to fight China as well. China simply won’t win if this happens within the next 5-10 years. Also I heard Jim Richards talking about Chinese economy actually collapsing soon, not sure if you heard about that. Lastly, about Paul Krugman, the guy is just a moron. If wars caused prosperity then by his logic we should focus all efforts on building the biggest battleship the world has ever seen, size of an island. Equip it with the most expensive technology and weapons, then take it out to sea and nuke it. Then sit back and enjoy the incredible economic prosperity! :))

The people of the tribe are sucking up to China because they know that America won't have Israel's back forever, they are hedging their bets. Israel is selling technology to China and China is buying ports in Israel. In addition, banks like Goldman Sachs are building headquarters to do business in China. The Jewish elite are not stupid, they know they are small in numbers and not as powerful as you think.

How the hell do you prepare for this

The only thing is China has its own problems. My theory still is the Rona was released as a casus belli to squash the Hong Kong riots and purge those with republican sympathies. Not to mention China is dealing with a food shortage (America is too). The truth is all the Earth's major powers are incredibly unstable and one more crisis way from major revolutions. America cannot a war with China, but China cannot afford one either.

The way the board is currently set, the US can't conquer China and I don't think China could conquer the US either. Long term, waiting is a good strategy for the US too. China is is aging quickly and will have fewer people than the US if current trends continue. If I were CIA in charge of long term China strategy, my goal would be to keep the Chinese used to having small families while keepingpopulation at least steady at home. Without the population advantage, the US has the edge in geography.

I don't see the Biden admin having the balls to have a war with China, esp with the influx of women and tranny soldiers in the US army.

How do you tell this stuff to your family members? Should you even try?

Can you do life videos? Those just hit coach

Good point that people (especially those in power) don't want to take responsibility for their mistakes. Waiting to see who (if not China) will be blamed for the ongoing, self-inflicted crisis.

Crossing swords with Paul Krugman is the mark of good character.

Why they would want a war when global elite realize they can work together to “global reset” and rule entire population by inflated monetary policy ?

Coach, it seems nearly all the main Neo-Cons and Heads of Banks are "people of the tribe". They have a huge influence on US foreign policy. So what are your thoughts on why the Jewish Elite would want to take on China? The Chinese and their leaders really respect and like them. They don't have the same negative history as they do with Russia and the Arabs.

Breaching Alex jones territory.

President Trump's legacy will be the US focus on China. Neo-Cons and the elites finally have a worthy enemy to make money from. Funny how they have all changed their tune post-election.

Good insights as usual. 2034 is an interesting fictional read on a potential US-China conflict that was written by a US military dude.

Jason RK

I don't think the public wants a war, after what happened with the Iraq war and the lies associated with it. People need to believe in their government. Ik people are dumb, but the moral is lacking in the US from what I understand. Also Coach, what about China's financial woes, such as it's 70+ trillion housing bubble?

I've been reading a bit about the Wörgl experiment and local currencies, as possible ways of fixing the economy, interesting stuff.

Thomas Levy

Exactly what I was thinking about these days !

Capitalists as usual

Black pill city. I love it :)

Hey Coach. Who are the real beneficiaries in all of this?

Stojan Karlusic