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News Burst: May 16, 2017

 

Hey Fam,

I hope you’re well! Today’s been… well… interesting. I was pretty much entirely focused and head-down on Thursday’s episode of Colin’s Last Stand (which is already locked, loaded, and ready to go for 9a PT on Thursday morning), so I spent a bit of time today really catching up on all that’s going on with Donald Trump.

Never did I imagine, when I started Colin’s Last Stand not even two months ago, that I’d have so much of what seems like the same exact shit to write about in my tri-weekly News Bursts. But alas, here we are.

Maybe I’m falling for the media’s obvious bias and the Democrats’ equally obvious agenda, but if these accusations are true, and they continue to stack up, then the end is definitely nigh for President Trump. And then we get President Pence.

Frankly, I can live with that.

Comey Memo Claims Trump Asked Him to Stop Investigating General Flynn: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/16/us/politics/james-comey-trump-flynn-russia-investigation.html

My Take: This is a pretty massive bombshell, if true, because it indicates that President Trump is obstructing with justice at essentially the highest possible level, with Comey having been FBI Director at the time. News comes by way of a memo that Comey apparently prepared back in February, upon which this fateful encounter apparently took place. The New York Times -- who broke the story -- notes that, while their reporter(s) never saw the memo, the trustworthy source of the story apparently read fragments of it to them, which is in the link above.

This is bizarre for one reason in particular, a point I’ve seen made in a couple of places, but certainly not enough. Was Donald Trump really under the impression that an FBI operative -- especially at the highest rung of the organization -- wasn't going to take copious notes about any encounter that may later implicate either Trump or Comey, or both? I’m still grappling with the fundamental fact of whether Donald Trump is truly this clueless as to the ways of the government and its various branches and agencies, or if he really has a more malicious intention to cover-up, in this instance, whatever Flynn may or may not have done. To me, it’s the former, but it’s impossible to say for sure.

The House, through Jason Chaffetz, has subpoenaed any documents related to Comey’s firing, Flynn, and everything else, with a rather generous deadline of May 24th. Furthermore, Representative Chaffetz has since indicated that he may directly subpoena the memo itself, which, while admittedly unclassified, is still not in the hands of anyone who could materially do anything with it. Props to Jason Chaffetz (see related story below) for finally stepping up and doing something. This is what happens when you’re not running for reelection.

(Related Story | Chaffetz Indicates He Will Subpoena Comey Memo: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/jason-chaffetz-comey-subpoena_us_591b7cd9e4b0a7458fa402fb?ncid=inblnkushpmg00000009)

Trump Reveals Classified Information to Russian Ambassador: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/trump-revealed-highly-classified-information-to-russian-foreign-minister-and-ambassador/2017/05/15/530c172a-3960-11e7-9e48-c4f199710b69_story.html?utm_term=.313d056d0a3c

My Take: In Trump’s Washington, this is already old news, since the above story pertaining to James Comey’s Trump/Flynn memo has since been released. But in normal times -- say, 2016 -- this would be a massive story that would have taken several days and several news cycle to purge out of our memories. So yes, it’s old news here in 2017, but it’s also worth throwing in here because it’s all part of the bullshit that’s currently occupying our every waking moment.

So, as the related story below will indicate, sharing classified information with other countries isn’t exactly unprecedented, even with friend/foe adversaries like Russia. Hell, Barack Obama literally shared classified information with the Russians last year, so that’s totally worth noting. Still, this seems to be a little different. The information shared with the Russians had to do with ISIS, and some sort of high level breach an informant or ally had in the structure of ISIS. The CIA, according to the story, moved quickly to mitigate any damage this information sharing might have caused, as Russia and the US aren’t exactly coming down on the same exact, precise side with one another when it comes to the Islamic State.

Like the Comey/Flynn situation, this is one of those cases where I don’t think Trump realizes exactly what he did. According to the Washington Post story, this is high-level classified information having to do with laptops and aviation, stuff that maybe Trump thought would be useful to the Russians. Maybe he was just trying to impress them. Still, the story notes that we haven’t even shared this information with our actual friends. Trump likely broke no laws here, but he certainly broke with standard protocol, and people familiar with the situation were unhappy enough with it that they spilled yet even more news to the press. Such is a fact of life for Donald Trump, who seems to have the respect of virtually no one around him.

(Related Story | Obama Also Gave Classified Intelligence to the Russians: http://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/kyle-drennen/2017/05/16/guests-remind-nbc-cnn-obama-gave-classified-intel-russia)

The GOP’s Just About Done With President Trump: http://thehill.com/homenews/house/333752-gop-nears-total-exasperation-with-trump

My Take: Well, duh. Trump’s pretty much daily episodes are interrupting their ability to govern in their own right. There is no viable legislative agenda coming out of the White House, and the GOP in the House and Senate doesn’t nearly have the votes in either chamber to run roughshod with their agenda without his signatures. In other words, the House, Senate, and the President have to continue to work together, but how can you with all of this bullshit whirling around like a political hurricane? As Joe Scarborough noted on Twitter today, this situation is simply untenable.

The Hill’s story cites quotes from Susan Collins, Mitch McConnell, John Thune, Ben Sasse (who I’m becoming really fond of), John McCain, Bob Corker, Jeff Flake, Roy Blunt, Barbara Comstock, et cetera. A pretty nice who’s-who in the Republican power structure in Congress. Washington’s center of gravity is always at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue -- it’s an unfortunate side effect of the Imperial Presidency no one seems all that interested in curtailing -- so without a symbiotic relationship between both sides, suffice it to say that nothing will get done, and the 2018 midterms will be an even greater bloodbath than mere history indicates was already going to be the case.

This is the Democrats’ time to strike, but as the related story below so honestly indicates, it’s also a time to be measured and careful. The somewhat sad truth of the matter is that Trump is unwinding early enough -- far earlier than I certainly thought he would or could -- that, should Mike Pence get the reins soon enough, the ship can be righted long before the midterms. The Democrats have to be very careful not to overplay their hand. This is a slam dunk for them in the House and the Senate if this keeps up, but people clearly want more than “We’re Not Donald Trump,”, since he beat Clinton back in November. Just some food for thought.  A deliberate way forward is going to be the best move for all involved.

(Related Story | Dems Warn Their Trump Obsession Will Hurt Party: http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/nation-world/national/article150868947.html)

The White House “Rocked” by Trump’s Missteps, The Last Eight Days Have Been Painful

My Take: The following two stories are basically recaps/recounts of what has happened recently. No need for me to really bring you through them. You should simply make it a point to read them.

http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/333710-eight-days-that-shook-trumps-washington

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/05/16/trump-comey-flynn-shutdown-238467

Chelsea Manning Is About to Get Out of Prison: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/16/us/politics/chelsea-manning-is-expected-to-leave-prison-28-years-early.html

My Take: This bothers me. I understand that this was a last-minute pardon on behalf of President Obama, and I also understand -- and accept, and appreciate -- that pardoning any criminal is the prerogative of the POTUS. This one just sticks in my craw, though, for multiple reasons. The biggest reason of all is what I think most people are afraid to say about the situation: I can’t help but feel this pardon was due to Manning’s gender transition, and didn’t fully account for the serious crime she committed, or the ramifications of that serious crime. It was an overture to a staunchly Democratic community that, admittedly, could use an overture or two from people in power. I get that. But still.

To me -- and I appreciate if you disagree -- there’s a major difference between what Manning did, and what Edward Snowden did three years later. As you know, I consider Snowden an American hero and a patriot; I don’t consider Manning one. Quite the opposite. She leaked hundreds of thousands of files pertaining to all manner of operations -- some active -- that put people in direct danger, complicated future actions, and put at heightened risk men and women serving with distinction around the globe, but particularly in the Middle East. There was nothing savvy about it, nothing that looked like it took time and thought.

Her moves were the exact opposite of Snowden’s in this respect, who went through great lengths to identify operations, programs, and malicious intent, but largely removed individuals from it. You could tell he was very deliberate in what he did, because I think he’s far smarter and more thoughtful than Manning. Also, he revealed a massive, intentional, disgusting domestic spying apparatus using its tools on its own people. It was simple and straightforward. Manning’s moves were largely obscured in gray, and while I think a 40 year sentence may have been excessive, being released this early -- and with a level of fanfare -- does stick in my craw a bit, if I’m being honest. Something tells me I’m going to be at odds with some of you here on this one.

Polling Shows The Rock Will Beat Trump in 2020: http://www.thewrap.com/the-rock-is-already-leading-trump-in-the-2020-presidential-race/

My Take: How about a little palate cleanser? There are few times we’ll need one more than right now. Public Policy Polling (known widely as PPP) has conducted polling with a hypothetical 2020 matchup between Donald Trump and The Rock, who I noted last week has been surprisingly open and candid about his possible intentions to run for office during the next cycle.

Well, in this hypothetical matchup, The Rock beats Trump 42-37, outside of the margin of error. Johnson’s favorability ratings are 36/13, good for +23, and, most interestingly, he has a 38/15 and 31/17 positive rating from Democrats and Republicans alike. (The Rock is a Republican, but I suspect he'd run Independent.) Obviously, the numbers are low, and that’s a problem -- lots of people have no opinion at all -- but, as this is purely speculative and certainly interesting, The Rock has plenty of time for people to actually get to know him.

But maybe the polling should begin to inquire how The Rock would do against Mike Pence?

Comments

No, thank YOU!

Colin Moriarty

I actually watched that interview. Morning Joe, I think? He has a point, I hate to say.

Colin Moriarty

Now that's a theory.

Colin Moriarty

The small victory is that she'll always have a rough go of it from here on out. She really got away with one.

Colin Moriarty

That's a good point that's often lost. Comey botched the Clinton "scandal" in such a way that ANYONE who did what she's accused of doing would have been tried and locked-up long ago.

Colin Moriarty

I'd have tuned out already if it wasn't my job to tune in. =D

Colin Moriarty

Maxine Waters is an absolute hack.

Colin Moriarty

I just wish there were other prominent things worth talking about. But bringing up other "ancillary" news would come at the injury of this frankly much more important news. Hopefully next week is a little better and more diverse. But I'm not holding my breath.

Colin Moriarty

I guess the conclusion should be: What a mess.

Colin Moriarty

You're very welcome! What a week, indeed.

Colin Moriarty

For stability's sake, I hope he lasts until 2020. You never want to assume the worst about a POTUS... and yet, how couldn't you, in this case?

Colin Moriarty

Thank you! I'm concerned about Snowden staying in Russia much longer, and wish Obama pardoned him or that he was given some sort of immunity. I'm of the mind that no jury of 12, if given all of the facts, would find him guilty of anything.

Colin Moriarty

Interesting, Evan. I had missed that. Thank you for throwing it out there. I'll have to read into it to have more thoughts. Busy with next week's episodes right now!

Colin Moriarty

I take your point, but virtually everything I'm reading disagrees with your assertion.

Colin Moriarty

My only counter-argument would be that, between Military Intelligence and the CIA, we'll never really know what the ramifications of the leaks were on the ground.

Colin Moriarty

You're very welcome! Thank you for your support.

Colin Moriarty

Ben Sasse should move to a country that has arranged marriages. Then HE could select the "perfect" lifelong partners for his daughters. Young people playing video games? Oh the humanity!

four24twenty

I agree. To me it seems Dems would care to destroy the country just to get Trump out.

John Barton

Thank you

"The number one address for college graduates in America, right now, is moving back into their parents’ basement. We have 18- to 24-year-old males, a large share of whom play video games a majority of their waking hours. I don’t want those guys marrying my daughters." - Ben Sasse

Jeremy Meyer

(1) Republicans install Pence. (2) Trump takes his base with him. (3) The Rock runs independent. (4) The liberal wing splinters off. (5) 2020 is a five-way race. (6) Trump reclaims the presidency. (7) Dies in office. (8) Ivanka is the first woman president.

Jeremy Meyer

"Vladamir Putin? The only Putin I know about is Putin the SMACKDOWN on ISIS!" - The Rock, 2020

Manning is and remains a traitor no matter what Obama did in his last days in office. Manning was a member of the Army at the time. The military makes very clear that there is no such thing of freedom of speech within the military. Knowingly damaging the Army and putting your brothers in arms at heightened risk in order to gain fame or out of maliciousness makes me sick. I would have applauded to see Manning spend every day of those 40 years behind bars @Leavenworth.

Josh in Tampa

I have no idea what Trump may or may not have done, but I do know that I don't trust a single thing Comey has to say. I lost all trust in him when he publicly laid out the case to charge Clinton with negligent handling of classified material (which is huge issue) and then recommended against charges. That was complete BS. If anyone else had done half of that we would have never heard from them again. On Manning, I'm with you 100%.

Honestly, I'm hitting the point where trump could literally do anything and I probably wouldn't care. It's like you've said, the media has blown every little thing he's done out if proportion that now the potentially big things hold little to no weight. With me at least. I've tuned out.

Misty

As horrible as Trump has been in the past week, it's really disappointing to see Maxine Waters so excited over a situation that is horrible for the country. <a href="http://thehill.com/homenews/house/333738-waters-comey-memo-helps-cement-trumps-impeachment" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">http://thehill.com/homenews/house/333738-waters-comey-memo-helps-cement-trumps-impeachment</a> Hey, awesome, not only is Congress getting nothing done now, but in the future they'll have to spend time planning and carrying out impeachment proceedings. Let's throw a goddamn party.

Jason Kelley

Great points as usual Colin. I bet your having trouble combing through the filth called news as much as we are. Been too difficult of late getting the cold hard facts. I have to agree and say Manning should still be in prison and not released this early. To me it feels like the people who actually do something on purpose get away easier than someone who accidentally does something and gets the book thrown at em. For instance, the Navy sailor who takes a selfie and gets the book thrown at em when it was an accident for taking pictures that revealed confidential submarine information in the background. I suppose Manning rubs me wrong cause I don't think it's the Military's job to be paying for his sex change and paying for other military members sex changes. Before I get people irritated, people can do whatever they want with their body. Good for them. I just don't like tax payers money to be paying for it. And if I'm wrong on this, point it out. That money could be spent on better things than that.

John Barton

My take is "all of the above". Trump does have a lot of shit on him that he wants FBI to look away from and yes, he is that clueless to try to persuade a top level agent to do so. Hence the fictional tapes that he is also not smart like Nixon to actually have done it. About Manning, I totally agree with 100% of your stance. Also with the fact that 40 years is exaggerated, but getting out that early is outrageous.

Lucas Gremista

What a week it has been. Wait, it's only Tuesday lol. Thanks for the write up Colin.

Michael Bruchsaler

Great write up of what's been going on the past couple of days. Crazy that all of this has only just happened in the last 2-3 days. I hope you're right that it's not looking good for his presidency but for some reason I think he continues to slither his way out of these situations and somehow survives till 2020. At that point who knows what happens.

Dan Phillips

I agree with you that Snowden is a patriot. No buts about it. How in the world does he survive over there in Russia? I don't know. In fact, I was just listening to his interview on Pod Save the People a few hours ago. Funny you brought it up in the News Burst today. Now, I'm not fully informed with Manning's doings, but from what I've read I can definitely tell she didn't put the amount of care and investigation that Snowden did. If she gets a pardon, I sure hope Snowden gets one too someday. ... And the Trump soap opera continues. I will say this: I do prefer Mike Pence over him, with the caveat that he's politically savvy, so they will get a lot done in Congress. Which is good, and bad to an extent. Some things they're trying to pass I don't agree with -- As with everything in life, huh? I just hope they keep Mother Nature in mind and don't destroy it. As always, great stuff Col!

Khalil Sadi

Great news burst Colin, but there's one element of the Russia story I think you may have missed in all the other craziness of today: the NYT reports that the close ally that supplied the highly sensitive intel that Trump shared with Russia was Israel. <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/16/world/middleeast/israel-trump-classified-intelligence-russia.html" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/16/world/middleeast/israel-trump-classified-intelligence-russia.html</a> I think this adds a really interesting element to the story, as Israel is a highly close ally with serious direct risks involved in fighting ISIS in the Middle East -- their civilians are at just as much risk as their operatives, and they're already in the middle of a delicate balance with the current administration considering recent offenses like this: <a href="http://www.timesofisrael.com/us-consulates-political-counselor-named-as-official-who-told-israelis-western-wall-is-not-yours/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">http://www.timesofisrael.com/us-consulates-political-counselor-named-as-official-who-told-israelis-western-wall-is-not-yours/</a> It's honestly fascinating and indicates and extra level of cluelessness that Trump not only shared classified intel with Russia (which looks bad to the American people), but shared intel that was highly sensitive and involved great risk by a close ally with whom he's already on somewhat rocky footing. Your thoughts?

Evan Bederman

It's not obstruction of justice. We have a unitary executive, meaning all executive power rests with the President. See Article II, Sec. 1, Cl. 1 of the Constitution. The FBI is part of the executive branch and it runs counterintelligence and criminal investigations, which are executive functions. That means the President has the power to control those investigations, or stop an investigation if he wants. Congress can't criminalize that activity, because that would be an unconstitutional limit on the President's executive power. But don't take my word for it. Alan Dershowitz said the same thing on CNN tonight.

Mike Smith

I agree with your premise of what and how Manning handled the situation was reckless compared to Snowden. You mentioned it put people in direct danger. There is multiple way I would approach this. First, nothing has been proven that any lost of lives occurred because of her revelations. Second, there is never a proper way for a whistle blower to divulged information, she might have suffered a worst faith by trying to go through "proper channels". Thirds, she revealed war crimes that were committed and known by high racking official and no one ever got trial yet convicted for any of those. Finally let's say actual lost of lives occurred but couldn't be reported because of sensitive intelligence information. Wouldn't then the deaths of few to prevent the lost of many be justifiable, as per the military loves to say every time they justify a mishap/friendly fire/tragedy. As for Mike Pence being the president, maybe the world would actually hear something coherent coming from the white house, even if its bad.

GrisWold Diablo

Thanks man! There is a lot going on in the news lately, and your News Bursts have been my Cliffsnotes while ive been traveling. Thanks again brother!

jeff rogers


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