SamSuka
The Long Investor
The Long Investor

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$NIO TOP 20

A clear flattening out now, compared to the downward trend, where it was constantly bouncing and then would fall lower. So far, it has bounced 3 times now on the important 0.618 Fib at $10.50, with the third time hitting $10.50 exactly and bouncing....positive movement again in the PM too.

The market has certainly reacted positively to the $NVDA report, all eyes are on the opening now to see if this is continued.

For $NIO, the first obstacle is the 50 Day MA at $11.20, a break through this level and holding above means that we are seeing more positive signs of reversing. The next test will be the 200 Day MA at $12.50.

I must mention again that this could very well be Wave B and the long pull back was Wave A, meaning small wave 5 is already complete and in now. If this is the case, we should see a bounce to around $13 before going lower again to complete Wave C....possibly down to the yellow trend line again at $9.80.

If this does happen, it means that this is Large Wave 2 completing and we have Large Wave 3 next.

Few people were confused when I mentioned this before, so I must advise you to refer to the Elliott Wave Theory Made Simple book again, to understand how impulse waves move.

The good news is, if this is Large Wave 2 we are in now, it means that we can get this out of the way sooner and have Large Wave 3 next until the end of the year possibly to $30.

Otherwise, the count as shown finishes at Wave 5 at around $18....we will then get our ABC correction for Large Wave 2, which will bring this back down to $11 either way.


$NIO TOP 20

Comments

Second this question

Raj Badola

What do you expect will happen on earnings report 29 of the month?

Makis Dimakis

Really good question Bjoern, so this is Wave B then it moves in 3 Waves, if it is Wave 5 then it moves in 5 waves....we will have a really good idea when we see how the waves move.

Gareth Neary

Thank you, Capt. Will you only know at around $13 - seeing her reaction then - if it's Wave B or Wave 5? Or is there any chance to determine this already on the move and beforehand?

Bjoern Szymkowiak


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